Poultry Production Trends for 2026: A Mixed Bag of Challenges and Growth

WASHINGTON, DC – As we look ahead to 2026, the poultry industry is experiencing notable changes. According to the USDA’s latest Livestock, Dairy, and Poultry Outlook, both broiler and egg production are on the rise. However, mixed conditions are emerging due to weaker export demand and declining prices.

Broiler Production Forecast

Broiler production is anticipated to increase by 1.9%, reaching a total of 48.9 billion pounds. This growth is driven by higher slaughter rates and heavier bird weights. Early indicators such as chick placements and hatch rates suggest a continued positive trend in production for the upcoming months.

Export Challenges

Despite the rise in production, export numbers are less favorable. Broiler shipments have seen a decline early in the year, primarily due to reduced demand from significant markets including Mexico, Cuba, and Taiwan. This trend is only partially mitigated by increased shipments to countries like Vietnam and the Philippines. Overall, total exports for 2026 are projected to be slightly lower than the previous year.

Price Pressures

Market prices are under pressure as well. The average broiler prices for 2026 are expected to decrease, largely attributed to the heightened supply and softened demand across various markets.

Egg Production Insights

In the egg production sector, a significant rebound is occurring as flocks recover from previous setbacks. This resurgence is contributing to a notable decline in egg prices compared to last year. Meanwhile, turkey production and exports are also on the rise, buoyed by improvements following past disease impacts.

Farm-Level Takeaway

The overarching message for the poultry sector is clear: while poultry supply is increasing, it is simultaneously exerting pressure on prices despite consistent demand. Stakeholders in the industry should strategize to navigate these challenging yet opportunistic conditions as 2026 unfolds.